Carbon flows

Where do emissions come from, and how fast are they growing? We build emission inventories and analyse their drivers for emerging economies and cities, where data are often scarce, and explore pathways to peak and neutrality.

Publications

2025

  • Cheng, D., Guan, D., Xue, Q., Shan, Y., Huo, J., Cui, C., Zhou, Y., & Li, Y. (2025). Inclusive wealth growth pathways within the carbon peak target for Chinese cities. Cell Reports Sustainability, 2(4). doi:10.1016/j.crsus.2025.100335 socioeconomic carbon

2024

  • Xu, R., Tong, D., Xiao, Q., Qin, X., Chen, C., Yan, L., Cheng, J., Cui, C., Hu, H., & Liu, W. (2024). MEIC-global-CO₂: A new global CO₂ emission inventory with highly-resolved source category and sub-country information. Science China Earth Sciences, 67(2), 450–465. doi:10.1007/s11430-023-1230-3 carbon
  • Peng, H., Kan, S., Meng, J., Li, S., Cui, C., Tan, C., Wang, Z., Wen, Q., & Guan, D. (2024). Emission accounting and drivers in South American countries. Applied Energy, 358, 122528. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122528 carbon
  • Wang, J., Shan, Y., Cui, C., Zhao, C., Meng, J., & Wang, S. (2024). Investigating the fast energy-related carbon emissions growth in African countries and its drivers. Applied Energy, 357, 122494. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122494 carbon
  • Wang, T., Xin, Y., Du, H., Cui, C., Li, J., & Liu, X. (2024). Projecting future mercury emissions from global biofuel combustion under the carbon neutrality target. Earth's Future, 12(10), e2024EF004917. doi:10.1029/2024EF004917 carbon

2023

  • Cui, C., Li, S., Zhao, W., Liu, B., Shan, Y., & Guan, D. (2023). Energy-related CO₂ emission accounts and datasets for 40 emerging economies in 2010–2019. Earth System Science Data, 15(3), 1317–1328. doi:10.5194/essd-15-1317-2023 carbon
  • Lei, T., Wang, D., Yu, X., Ma, S., Zhao, W., Cui, C., Meng, J., Tao, S., & Guan, D. (2023). Global iron and steel plant CO₂ emissions and carbon-neutrality pathways. Nature, 622(7983), 514–520. doi:10.1038/s41586-023-06486-7 carbon material & transition
  • Cheng, D., Reiner, D., Yang, F., Cui, C., Meng, J., Shan, Y., Liu, Y., Tao, S., & Guan, D. (2023). Projecting future carbon emissions from cement production in developing countries. Nature Communications, 14, 8213. doi:10.1038/s41467-023-43660-x carbon material & transition
  • Liu, B., Guan, Y., Shan, Y., Cui, C., & Hubacek, K. (2023). Emission growth and drivers in Mainland Southeast Asian countries. Journal of Environmental Management, 329, 117034. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117034 carbon
  • Zhao, C., Liu, B., Wang, J., Xue, R., Shan, Y., Cui, C., Dong, X., & Dong, K. (2023). Emission accounting and drivers in Central Asian countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(46), 102894–102909. doi:10.1007/s11356-023-29608-0 carbon
  • Xu, R., Zhang, Q., Tong, D., Xiao, Q., Qin, X., Chen, C., Yan, L., Cheng, J., Cui, C., & Hu, H. (2023). Development of a new global CO₂ emission database with highly-resolved source category and sub-country information. EGU General Assembly 2023, EGU23-1647 (abstract). doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu23-1647 carbon

2022

  • Cui, C., Guan, D., Wang, D., Meng, J., Chemutai, V., Brenton, P., Zhang, S., Shan, Y., Zhang, Q., & Davis, S. J. (2022). Global mitigation efforts cannot neglect emerging emitters. National Science Review, 9(12), nwac223. doi:10.1093/nsr/nwac223 carbon
  • Sun, Y., Hao, Q., Cui, C., Shan, Y., Zhao, W., Wang, D., Zhang, Z., & Guan, D. (2022). Emission accounting and drivers in East African countries. Applied Energy, 312, 118805. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118805 carbon

2021

  • Cui, C., Wang, Z., Cai, B., Peng, S., Wang, Y., & Xu, C. (2021). Evolution-based CO₂ emission baseline scenarios of Chinese cities in 2025. Applied Energy, 281, 116116. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.116116 carbon

2020

  • Cui, C., Cai, B., Bin, G., & Wang, Z. (2020). Decennary spatial pattern changes and scaling effects of CO₂ emissions of urban agglomerations in China. Cities, 105, 102818. doi:10.1016/j.cities.2020.102818 carbon
  • Yang, P., Cui, C. (equal contribution), Li, L., Chen, W., Shi, Y., Mi, Z., & Guan, D. (2020). Carbon emissions in countries that failed to ratify the intended nationally determined contributions: A case study of Kyrgyzstan. Journal of Environmental Management, 255, 109892. doi:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109892 carbon

2019

  • Cui, C., Shan, Y., Liu, J., Yu, X., Wang, H., & Wang, Z. (2019). CO₂ emissions and their spatial patterns of Xinjiang cities in China. Applied Energy, 252, 113473. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113473 carbon
  • Cui, C., Wang, Z., & Bin, G. (2019). Life-cycle CO₂ emissions and their driving factors in the construction sector in China. Chinese Geographical Science, 29, 293–305. doi:10.1007/s11769-019-1029-z carbon
  • Cai, B., Cui, C. (corresponding author), Zhang, D., Cao, L., Wu, P., Pang, L., Zhang, J., & Dai, C. (2019). China city-level greenhouse gas emissions inventory in 2015 and uncertainty analysis. Applied Energy, 253, 113579. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113579 carbon
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